Political consulting

Princeton University Press, 2005. — 340 p. Quantifying the Unquantifiable The Ego-deflating Challenge of Radical Skepticism Knowing the Limits of One’s Knowledge: Foxes Have Better Calibration and Discrimination Scores than Hedgehogs Honoring Reputational Bets: Foxes Are Better Bayesians than Hedgehogs Contemplating Counterfactuals: Foxes Are More Willing than Hedgehogs to...