The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd., 2019. — 21 p.
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) is an independent business within the Economist Group. Through research and analysis, EIU offers forecasting and advisory services to its clients. It provides country, industry and management analysis worldwide and incorporates the former Business International Corporation, a U.K. company acquired by the parent organization in 1986. It is particularly well known for its monthly country reports, five-year country economic forecasts, country risk service reports, and industry reports. The company also specialises in tailored research for companies that require analysis for particular markets or business sectors. 2006 marked the 60th anniversary of the Economist Intelligence Unit's inception.
A US-China trade conflict morphs into a full-blown global trade war
US corporate debt burden turns downturn into a recession
Contagion spreads to create a broad-based emerging-markets crisis
China suffers a disorderly and prolonged economic downturn
Supply shortages lead to a globally damaging oil-price spike
Territorial or sovereignty disputes in the South or East China Sea lead to an outbreak of hostilities
Cyber-attacks and data integrity concerns cripple large parts of the internet
There is a major military confrontation on the Korean peninsula
Political gridlock leads to a disorderly no-deal Brexit
Political and financial instability lead to an Italian banking crisis