Oliker O., Charlick-Paley P. Assessing Russia’s Decline: Trends and Implications for the United States and the U.S. Air Force

Prepared for the United States Air Force, Approved for Public Release; Distribution Unlimited, Project Air force, 152 p.introduction: strategic implications of Russia’s decline.
Regional autonomy or increased centralization?
The russian economy.
Russia’s political future: whither democracy and freedom?
The people of Russia: asset or liability?
The russian military.
Weak links: road, rail, and nuclear power.
Illustrative scenarios.
Next steps: planning for and preventing contingencies.
The air force role.